Saturday, December 10, 2011

Shall Greece design a new drachma?

On Friday, December 9, 17 countries of the euro zone formally agreed to run only minimal budget deficits in the future and gave the European Court of Justice the right to strike down national laws that could lead to governments overspending.
“We have a very good result,” said the president of the European Parliament, Jerzy Buzek.
Europe might be on sounder fiscal footing after Friday's historic pact for more coordination among nations. The markets had big hopes on the results: CAC40 and EUR Stoxx 50 were colored green.
Good for the future, but the drastic steps did little, however, to bring down the sky-high bond yields plaguing some European nations now.
Europe has two problems—the weak economy and the financial phenomenon.The financial problem can be fixed in the shorter term. The other one isn't going to be. Even Europe solves its financial crisis and avoids a breakup; it still has to deal with its economic doldrums. Across the Continent, nations are cutting their budgets, which could weigh on growth.
What of the embattled euro itself? It is likely to stay under pressure because even the so-called solutions to the fiscal disaster are negative for the currency. Austerity measures, for instance, will likely cause the euro-zone economy to slow, which is typically bearish for a currency. And if the ECB steps in to buy bonds, that could cause the euro to drop as well.
I like Greece, see my notes from our last October visit to Crete , in current EUR situation it is the time for Greece to design beautiful new drachma banknotes.  

Wednesday, December 7, 2011

Watch Friday, December the 9th


We are in a very interesting week for the markets.
Commodities will be the stars of the week
IMHO gold is a better long term bet than silver.
The advantage of Gold and Silver are that they are unprintable.
Companies are upping Gold Forecasts:
At high level of negativity that surrounds the current investing and trading environment, the stock market could not continue  to hold up  despite continued bad news out of Europe, weakening economic data in Asia,and decent but not great news in US.


Sunday, December 4, 2011

Good news for Ciena Corporation (NASDAQ: CIEN) and EZchip Semiconductor Ltd. ( Public, NASDAQ: EZCH )

In recent days it was announced that  UK BT and Australia AAPT selected Ciena for Carrier Ethernet services build-out.
It is in a good agreement with analysts estimations that though overall Telco Capex to be soft, the carrier Ethernet Equipment market is expected to be an area of strength as carries increasingly use Ethernet gear to cope with soaring Internet traffic instead of more costly legacy technology.
The UN's Broadband Commission for Digital Development set target for Broadband Equipment Market to grow by 40%.
I wrote about it on October 25:
http://stockpicks247.blogspot.com/2011/10/good-news-for-alu-csco-jnpr-si-eric.html
Ciena (NASDAQ: CIEN) as equipment maker and EZchip Semiconductor Ltd. ( Public, NASDAQ: EZCH ) chip maker are in the same boat, that depends heavily on carrier Ethernet demand.
Ciena Corporation  (NASDAQ: CIEN) is a provider of communications networking equipment, software and services that support the transport, switching, aggregation and management of voice, video and data traffic. The Company’s packet-optical transport, packet-optical switching and carrier Ethernet service delivery products are used, individually or as part of an integrated solution, in networks operated by communications service providers, cable operators, governments and enterprises globally. Its communications networking products, through their embedded software and its network management software suites enable network operators to deliver enterprise communication services. The Company operates in four segments: packet-optical transport, packet-optical switching, carrier Ethernet Service delivery, and software and services. On March 19, 2010, the Company acquired optical networking and Carrier Ethernet assets of Nortel’s Metro Ethernet Networks business (MEN Business).

BT Group PLC (LSE: BT.A) is getting ready for the 100-Gbps era and beyond, judging from the news that it’s picked Ciena Corp. (NASDAQ: CIEN) to supply packet-optical transport equipment for its core 21st Century Network (21CN).
By deploying products from across Ciena's transport and switching portfolio, including 6500 and 4200 platforms, BT can take advantage of Ciena's multi-layer, multi-domain management suite – OneControl. The unified management system will be integrated into BT's existing operations support systems, offering service lifecycle control and monitoring for the entire network. 
Ciena has been a strategic supplier to BT since 2003. The company provides high-capacity transmission and switching equipment, which serves as the foundation for much of BT's existing network infrastructure .
BT to increase core network capacity at 21CN
Now BT plans to install intelligent optical transmission infrastructure based on Ciena’s 6500 packet-optical platform equipped with WaveLogic coherent optical processors. Ciena’s coherent technology supports 10G and 40G/100G wavelengths working side by side.
AAPT selects Ciena for Carrier Ethernet services buildout
Australian carrier AAPT has picked Ciena Corp. (NASDAQ: CIEN) to upgrade its nationwide fiber-optic network with next-generation Carrier Ethernet service delivery capabilities.
The upgrade will help AAPT to meet growing demand from businesses across Australia for high-quality Ethernet business services, providing reliable Ethernet private line and wide area LAN services to retail service providers. It will allow AAPT’s customers to deliver high-bandwidth, low-latency applications such as streaming video, cloud networking, business-to-business commerce, wireless backhaul, and wholesale connectivity.
With construction of Australia’s National Broadband Network (NBN) underway, AAPT says the upgraded network will address both pent-up demand for ultrafast broadband services, and position AAPT as a competitive supplier in Ethernet business services when the NBN becomes generally available.
The network will be built on Ciena’s 5410 and 5150 service aggregation switches, augmenting AAPT’s existing IP/MPLS core network. The new Carrier Ethernet network will deliver transport-class Ethernet services that far exceed the quality-of-service associated with traditional Ethernet while improving the service flexibility and speed-to-market delivered via traditional TDM networks.
“AAPT is focused on meeting our customer demands and expectations for the highest-quality Ethernet services in the Australian market. With this network build, we’re able to meet those goals and even offer customers strict Service Level Agreements, while maintaining low network operations costs. With a network scalable to the terabit-level, we can virtually meet any future demand for high-performance applications that may be enabled in the era of NBN,” said David Yuile, CEO, AAPT.

Saturday, December 3, 2011

Switzerland to shut down nuclear power by 2034

Today more than 40% of  Switzerland energy comes from nuclear power plants.
The vote in upper parliament chamber to shut down the nuclear power plants, followed a June decision by the lower chamber of parliament to back an exit from nuclear energy recommended by the government, which had earlier frozen plans for a new construction programme after the explosions and meltdowns at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant.

Green Cross International's president Mikhail Gorbachev, welcomed Switzerland's decision.
"I applaud Switzerland for taking this brave step towards ending its reliance on nuclear energy,"  said Michael Gorbachev, in a statement.
I wrote about similar Germany and Japan decisions to phase out nuclear energy in this blog.

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Companies are preparing for possible break up of the EU zone

World Class Companies with good BCP procedures ( Business Continuity Plans ) are preparing contingency plans for possible end of euro.
I wrote about EU/$ forecast and dynamics on October 30 and  October 22 in this blog:

Thursday, November 24, 2011

Black Friday 2011 on line deals

Below is a list of Black Friday products that are currently available for ordering at the Black Friday price! Using our real time tracking system, this list will be updated by from now through the weekend of Black Friday. We strongly suggest you bookmark this page and keep checking back often for the latest additions to the list.

Saturday, November 19, 2011

Black Friday 2011 spending forecast -$704 more optimistic than 2010 forecast of $688

According to National Retail Federation (NRF):
In 2010 actual Black Friday spending was $719 versus forecast of $688.
For 2011 forecast is $704 and it is important to see the actual Black Friday spending this year versus the forecast, in order to evaluate the current state of economy.
Black Friday 2011 is the day after Thanksgiving, November 25 2011. 
It officially kicks off the holiday shopping season, as 195 million shoppers usually hit stores during the Black Friday weekend.
Nearly 20% of retail sales occur between Black Friday through Christmas. For some retailers, such as jewelers, it can be as high as 40%.
For 2011, the NRF said that shoppers usually spend about half of their total holiday gift shopping on Black Friday. The NRF forecast that shoppers are more optimistic in 2011 than they were last year. Holiday sales will be up 2.8% to $465.6 billion. This is higher than the 2.6% increase experienced in the last ten years, but lower than the norm (3.4% annual increase) for the decade before the 2008 financial crisis. It's unlikely growth will return to those levels anytime soon, since most of this spending was fueled with credit card debt. This debt has been declining in the last three years.
On average, each shoppers said they expect to spend $704 in 2011. However, it's possible they could spend more than their expectations, because that's just what happened during Black Friday 2010. They said they would spend $688 each, but they actually spent $719 each. Shoppers will spend less than the all-time high of $755 per person set in 2007. It's much better than the recessionary low of $682 per shopper set in 2009.