Thursday, June 30, 2011

LVLT: up 68% from the Forecast at May 1, 2011- High Quality Forecast

On May 1, it was published by " I Know First" positive forecast for Level 3 (LVLT@$1.64) http://iknowfirst.com/node/82
today LVLT is trading for $2.40 - 68% up from the forecast.
Forecast System Quality is measured by comparision between the forecast and the actual stock performance.

Monday, June 27, 2011

LDK ADS price is grossly undervalued: Announces Share Repurchase Program

As we previously estimated LDK is highly undervalued

See our post and comment from May 23, 2011:
http://stockpicks247.blogspot.com/2011/05/china-gets-60-of-2010-global-solar.html


XINYU CITY, China and SUNNYVALE, Calif., June 27, 2011 /PRNewswire via COMTEX/ --
LDK Solar Co., Ltd. (NYSE: LDK), a leading vertically integrated manufacturer of photovoltaic products, today announced that its Board of Directors approved a share buyback program that authorizes LDK Solar to repurchase up to US$110 million of its American Depository Shares ("ADSs") in the open market or through privately negotiated transactions. The program does not obligate LDK Solar to acquire any particular amount of its ADSs and may be modified or suspended at any time at the sole discretion of LDK Solar.

Mr. Xiaofeng Peng, Chairman and CEO of LDK Solar, commented, "We remain confident in our current outlook as well as the long-term prospects for our business. However, we believe our ADSs are currently grossly undervalued. We believe our share buyback program not only represents a good investment for our company, but also demonstrates our commitment to enhance shareholder value." 

Sunday, June 26, 2011

FORECAST QUALITY: Stocks Actual Performance versus Forecast

Forecast from June 14, 2011 in Green  Actual performance in Blue 

Saturday, June 25, 2011

Actual stocks performance versus weekly forecast

Best Test of Forecast Quality is to compare the forecast to the actual stocks performance
In accordance with the forecast, URRE is up by 8% in 2 days 
In accordance with the forecast, GT is up by 6.5 % in 3 days 
Well Done!

Tuesday, June 21, 2011

PSTI: Up 18.8% according to forecast from June10@2.65

Check this
According to: I Know First forecast from June 10@2.65
PSTI is up 18.5% from $2.65 to $3.15 in 10 days from the forecast
http://stockpicks247.blogspot.com/2011/06/next-week-stock-forecast-psti-is-good.html

Monday, June 20, 2011

Nikkei225 and the Fukushima crisis

Just after Fukushima tragedy began Nikkei dived to 8605.
Seeking Alfa analyst Darrel Whitten estimated on March 20, 2011 that:

  Nikkei 225 could rebound to 12,000 (30%) without much trouble: 

"....Japan’s stock and financial markets,  have already largely discounted the worst of the disaster—including the nuclear crisis—with the 22% fall in the Topix and a similar 21% fall in the Nikkei 225 between the close on March 10, 2011 and the midday low on March 15. The Nikkei 225 could rebound to 12,000 (30%) without much trouble, while we suspect that much stronger fundamentals will be needed for a move beyond that."

Today June 20, 2011 - Nikkei225 is 9354
It appears that Fukushima disaster has much broader impact on Japan than previously estimated.

Friday, June 17, 2011

In accordance with the forecast, PSTI is up by 8% in 2 days ; STP Is up by 12% in 4 days

In accordance with the forecast:
PSTI is up by 8% in 2 days✓
STP Is up by 12% in 4 days
URRE is down by 13% in 4 days✓

Wednesday, June 15, 2011

According to our Forecast: LDK up 10%

According to our Forecast: LDK  from $6.88 to $7.47  ~ 10%.
Please be careful daily updates are essential for LDK.


http://iknowfirst.com/

Tuesday, June 14, 2011

According to Forecast: PSTI is up by +6.5% in 2 days

According to Forecast: PSTI is up by +6.5% in 2 days - see the post from 11/06/2011


We still maintaining Strong Buy for PSTI


http://iknowfirst.com/

This week tips and Stock Forecasts

According to smart money movements:


AAPL ; ORCL: DOX would wear GREEN


I KNOW FIRST

Sunday, June 12, 2011

My investing strategy

Suppose we have $100k:

  1.          Don’t put all eggs together- divide between 10 stocks- $10k each
  2.          Do your homework what 10 stock to select
  3.     Use different sources but the investing decision should be yours
  4.          Examine your position daily – the life is dynamic – what was right yesterday does not is right today - the point is to change strategy in timely manner
  5.          Be optimistic – the down direction is limited to 100% lose ( even if not use stop loss strategy) – for up direction – the sky is the limit


Cheers!

Saturday, June 11, 2011

Next week stock forecast: PSTI is a good pick

Just track the flow of money between the markets.
Why PSTI would be up next week?
I saw the smart money movement at June 10 and bought PSTI@2.65

How to do it?

There are some algorithmic systems (for example “I Know First” system - http://iknowfirst.com/) that is tracking the flow of money daily.

Wednesday, June 8, 2011

LDK Q1 Report: Positive signs - Gross Margins up

Good report - Pay attention to Gross Margins Grow:
"Gross margin in the first quarter was 31.5%, compared to 27.3% in the fourth quarter. Our gross margin for our wafer business was 38.0% in the first quarter, which increased from 36.1% in the fourth quarter of 2010.
Gross margin for our polysilicon business increased in the first quarter to 58.2% from 42.9% in the fourth quarter of 2010. Gross margin for our module business increased to 15.6% in the first quarter from 9.5% in the fourth quarter of 2010."
As for me:
I saw the smart money movement at June 7 and bought LDK - $ 6.88
Just track the flow of money between the markets.
How to do it?
There are some algorithmic systems (for example “I Know First” system ) that tracking the flow of money daily

Monday, June 6, 2011

According to the last week stocks forecast: NBG and the VIX Index are up

The Market Last Week: NBG And The VIX Index Are Climbing


Wednesday, June 1, 2011

AAPL close long position

I am bullish on AAPL in long term but close Long position for a while @351