Sunday, October 30, 2011

Next week EU/$ forecast

Next week EUR/USD forecast :Today it was published that Europe should not expect China to ride to the rescue as its "savior" from the debt crisis, though Beijing will do what it can to help a friend in need,
state-run agency Xinhua  said in commentary.

This commentary supports I KNOW FIRST system signal on EUR/$ south direction for coming week.
IMHO we will see $ correction next week.



Saturday, October 29, 2011

Weekly Prediction from October 23 : DELL up 5.8%, BGC up 23.1%, UURE up 71%

The stocks forecast published by I Know First system  on October 23 and actual stocks performance since the prediction date:
http://iknowfirst.com/node/195
IMHO one can count on this crystal ball .
P.S: regarding DELL analysts evaluations see our previous post:
http://stockpicks247.blogspot.com/2011/10/dell-deutsche-bank-reiterate-buy.html

Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Good News for ALU, CSCO, JNPR, SI, ERIC


Good News for Alcatel Lucent (ALU), Cisco (CSCO) , Juniper Networks (JNPR), 
Siemens (SI) , Ericsson ( ERIC) and other Telecoms Equipment Manufactures
By 2015 Broadband Equipment Market will Grow by 40%
The UN has set four new targets for governments to provide broadband to citizens
The UN’s Broadband Commission for Digital Development has set four new targets for governments across the world to ensure citizens have sufficient broadband access. The targets, which the UN described as “ambitious but achievable” address broadband policy, affordability and uptake.
The first target is to make broadband policy universal. By 2015, The Comission wants all countries to have a national broadband plan or strategy, or to include broadband in their universal access and service definitions.
The second target is to make broadband affordable for all. The Commission said that by 2015, entry-level broadband services should be made affordable in developing countries through adequate regulation and market forces. Each country should also set key parameters; for example, the cost should amount to less than five per cent of average monthly income.
The third target is a push to get broadband access into homes. By 2015, 40 per cent of households in developing countries should have internet access, the Commission said.
The final target is to get people using the internet. The Commission has stated that, by 2015, internet user penetration should reach 60 per cent worldwide. 50 per cent of people in developing countries should have broadband access and a target of 15 per cent has been set for the Least Developed Countries (LDCs).
“These targets are ambitious but achievable, given the political will and commitment on the part of governments, working in partnership with the private sector,” said Dr Hamadoun TourĂ©, co-vice chair of the Commission and secretary-General of the ITU.
The ITU said that it will undertake the task of measuring each country’s progress towards the targets, and will produce an annual broadband report with rankings of nations worldwide in terms of broadband policy, affordability and uptake.

Saturday, October 22, 2011

Currency Dynamics EUR/USD


EUR is up versus USD in recent days, but what next week will bring?


Ongoing euro negotiations have held the markets hostage this week.
Rumors of progress rally the euro, only to be followed by bear news which turns the market around.
There is a euro summit planned for the weekend, and, now, another planned for the 23rd.
Obviously if they had a solution, there would be fewer meetings.
I KNOW FIRST system model predictive Algorithm based on artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine Learning (ML), and incorporating elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms detected smart money inflow to USD and is optimistic on USD.

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

DELL: Deutsche Bank reiterate 'Buy'


Deutsche Bank writes, "Dell is on the front side of a multi-year business model evolution towards higher margin products (storage, networking and services) and away from PCs. We believe margin expectations for 2H look conservative (DB at OMs of 7.2%) due to continued weak commodity costs, the migration towards enterprise and disciplined pricing. At 4x PE (ex cash) DELL appears cheap; reiterate 'Buy'."
It is in a good agreement with  analysts recommendations published here on September 15:

Merlin Securities initiated coverage on Dell   with a “buy” rating and a $22 price target
UBS was less cryptic, but no less enthusiastic:
 UBS believe that strong cash flows, relatively low exposure to consumer PC and valuation make the shares attractive.
I KNOW FIRST system model  predictive Algorithm based on artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine Learning (ML), and incorporating elements of Artificial Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms is optimistic on DELL 
http://stockpicks247.blogspot.com/2011/09/dell-analysts-current-recommendations.html

Saturday, October 1, 2011

Plutonium found as far as 28 miles from the damaged Fukushima but the Solar Sector is still heavily beaten on WS

In this days as the Solar Energy Sector is still heavily beaten on Wall Street.
Trace amounts of plutonium were found as far as 28 miles from the damaged Fukushima Daiichi nuclear-power plant, the first time that the dangerous element released from the accident was found outside of the immediate area of the plant.
The science ministry report issued Friday comes just as the government lifted one of its evacuation advisories, underscoring the difficulty of restoring normalcy and assuring the safety of residents around the crippled plant.
The government also reported a rare detection of strontium, another highly dangerous element, far from the crippled reactor, in one spot as far away as 50 miles. Most of the radioactive material discovered to date in the communities surrounding Fukushima Daiichi has been cesium or iodine.
The report said that the radiation from plutonium and strontium was "extremely low" compared to the high concentration of cesium, advising that the government maintain its focus on measuring and clearing the areas of cesium.
Still, the latest discovery is a potentially disturbing turn, as it shows that people relatively far from the plant could be exposed to more dangerous elements than had been previously disclosed.
While neither plutonium nor strontium emit powerful gamma rays like cesium and iodine, both deposit in the body—strontium in the bones, plutonium in the bones and lungs—and can cause cancer of leukemia once inhaled or ingested.
Both isotopes also have long half lives: it takes about 29 years for some forms of strontium to reduce by half, while plutonium isotopes have half-lives ranging from 88 years to over 24,000 years.
That makes them highly toxic in the body as they continue to emit alpha rays, and immensely difficult to get rid of in the environment.
The half-life of one of the most common iodine formations is eight days, while that for much of the cesium released is 30 years.
Specifically, Plutonium-238 believed to have been emitted from the damaged Fukushima reactors was found in soil samples from six separate locations, ranging from 0.55 to 4.0 becquerels per square meter. Samples from Iitate, a village located 28 miles from the power plant, registered 0.82 becquerels of Plutonium-238 and 2.5 becquerels of Plutonium-239 and -240. Iitate was evacuated earlier this year.
The finding comes from the science ministry's analysis of 100 soil samples taken within a 50-mile zone from the damaged plant between June and July.
Plutonium had previously been detected in Japan after atmospheric nuclear tests, sometimes at higher levels than were found from the June-July samples, a science ministry official said. However, the ministry cites higher-than-usual level of Plutonium-238 found in the soil samples from the six locations as evidence that plutonium release was not limited to the plant's compound.
Strontium-89 and -90 were also found in almost half of the 100 samples, in one case as far as the edge of the 50-mile zone registering measurement of 500 becquerels per square meter of Strontium-89 and 130 becquerels of Strontium-90.
Separately, reflecting the mounting costs of cleaning up from the accident, government agencies have requested about ¥400 billion, or about $5 billion, to cover the cost of cleaning up after the nuclear accident in the budget for the next fiscal year, beginning in April 2012, local media reported.
Germany learned the lesson very quikly:
25% from Solar in Germany is expected by 2050,  IMHO it will happen much early
Today Germany has 18GW nominal power of PV plants, actual PV current production various per day hours( 0-100%), you can check it on-line at http://bit.ly/obhhqH
Germany also decided to shut down all 17 nuclear plants ( 6 of them already are shuttered down) so the need for other energy sources is more urgent than in 2010

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204226204576604013365441594.html?mod=WSJ_World_LEFTSecondNews